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Highlights
- Coforge MD & CEO Sudhir Singh asserts AI is a growth tailwind for solution-driven IT firms, not deflationary.
- AI fluency, large deal momentum, and metrics like revenue per employee will define winners in IT sector by 2026, says Sudhir Singh.
- Coforge focuses on business-led AI solutions, making tech budgets elastic and driving growth, says Sudhir Singh.
ET Now Exclusive: Coforge MD & CEO Sudhir Singh explains why AI is not deflationary but a powerful growth tailwind for solution-driven IT firms. He outlines how AI fluency, large deal momentum, sector-specific solutions, and new performance metrics like revenue per employee and deal velocity will define winners in 2026.
In an exclusive interview with Sajeet Manghat on ET Now's show Deep Dive, the discussion covers the sector outlook, AI monetisation, margin dynamics, and what investors should track next as India’s IT industry navigates the AI transition.
On AI moves and how Coforge is managing the entire expectation, he said, "We've focused on creating AI fluency across our customer base and internally, believing AI is a significant tailwind for the industry. We're driving business-led AI solutions, making tech budgets elastic. We've maintained AI is a business imperative, not just a tech one, and are seeing growth through this approach."
On genAI going to impact the productivity of existing order books and bring in better opportunities, he said that we're seeing AI drive productivity and new opportunities. With AI fluency, we're structuring end-to-end solutions addressing client business issues, making budgets more elastic. We're focused on business-led AI, not just tech-led, which is driving growth.
He further said that we are seeing significant AI disruption in sub-segments including:
- Travel: Airlines and airports, driving growth through AI-led solutions like "one order, one offer".
- Capital Markets: AI is key for regulatory compliance, customer acquisition, and retention.
- Insurance: AI adoption is accelerating, especially in speciality insurance, to create products and platforms faster amidst geopolitical uncertainty and complexity.
On AI impact revenues for companies like Coforge, he said, "AI may have a deflationary impact on existing business due to efficiency improvements, but there's a larger pool of business in innovation and transformation that's driving growth. Coforge grew 31 per cent last year and 38 per cent in H1 this year. We're seeing robust growth by leading with business-led AI solutions and believe this market will reward firms that drive business impact, not just order fulfilment."
He said that the metrics have shifted. Revenue is important, but leading metrics like large deal velocity, EBIT, and revenue per employee will be key to assessing AI-driven growth and value addition.
He said, "The metrics have moved away from just assessing business teams, business leaders, and sales leaders on just revenue and EBITDA, which were the metrics earlier. Instead of revenue alone, we increasingly look at the velocity and the median size of large deals that are being signed. Our belief is that large deals and order books are not a lagging metric like revenue is, but they're a predictor of what the future on the growth front is going to be."
"So, increasingly on the revenue side, you might find that analysts and firms internally like us are looking not just at revenue, which is a lagging metric, but also looking at the velocity of large deals getting signed and the median size of the large deals getting signed," he added.
The second thing that I suspect will slowly start inching in is that we've all within this industry largely looked at EBITDA as the principal margin metric. You might find with acquisitions and mergers becoming more common, EBIT is a metric that does factor in amortisation and depreciation that comes as a consequence of those M&As becoming more important. So, that's going to be the second metric that we see.
He further said, "I guess EBIT will become as important as EBITDA, even internally for firms like us, and third, of course, revenue per employee will continue to be a big metric to figure out what is the true value addition being offered by teams and to what extent it is being recognised and paid for by the end recipient, which is clients."
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2 hours ago
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