Sensex Prediction for Monday, Feb 16: Index faces 82,000 risk after over 1000 pts crash - Technical levels to watch tomorrow

Sensex Prediction for Monday, Feb 16 by experts: After the equity benchmark indices – Sensex and Nifty – tumbled more than 1 per cent on Friday, February 13, stock market experts have advised exercising caution for the upcoming trading session on Monday, February 16.

The stock market crashed on Friday due to a broad-based selloff, especially in metal, IT and commodity stocks, as it tracked sluggish global markets. A weaker-than-expected earnings season and emerging pressure on technology stocks amid concerns about AI-led disruption also dampened sentiment.

Sensex, Nifty on Friday, Feb 13

Following a volatile session, the 30-share BSE Sensex tumbled 1,048.16 points, or 1.25 per cent, to settle at 82,626.76. During the day, the benchmark tanked 1,140.37 points, or 1.36 per cent, to hit an intraday low of 82,534.55.

A total of 2,960 stocks declined, while 1,253 advanced and 151 remained unchanged on the BSE.

The 50-share NSE Nifty plunged 336.10 points, or 1.30 per cent, to settle at 25,471.10. In the intraday trade, it slumped 362.9 points, or 1.4 per cent, to hit a low of 25,444.30.

According to Aakash Shah, Research Analyst, “The Sensex witnessed a weak and volatile trading session on 13 Feb 2026 and ended in the red, tracking continued selling pressure after the previous session’s decline. Broader sentiment remained cautious as weakness in IT heavyweights dragged the index lower, while intermittent recovery attempts indicated selective buying at lower levels. The market mood stayed fragile with profit booking visible at higher levels.”

He further said selling pressure was primarily seen in IT majors such as TCS, HCLTech, and others like Hindustan Unilever, Eternal, Hindalco, which acted as key laggards. At the same time, selective strength in financials and a few large-cap names provided limited support. “Notably, stocks like EicherMot, SBIN and Bajaj Finance showed relative resilience during the session,” the expert added.

Sensex Prediction for Monday, Feb 16 by experts

Technical analysts highlight a shift in the market structure following the breach of key support zones.

Vipin Dixena, a SEBI-registered analyst, noted that the index has witnessed a sharp breakdown below the 83,500 level.

“Price is trading below EMA50 and making a lower top, lower bottom, indicating continued bearish sentiment and downside momentum. RSI has slipped into the oversold zone, reflecting aggressive selling pressure, though a minor technical bounce cannot be ruled out,” he said.

Key levels to watch on Monday by Vipin Dixena

Support: Dixena said, “SENSEX is trading near its immediate support of 82,500; a sustained break below this can extend the decline toward 82,000.”

Resistance: “On the upside, 83,000 now becomes immediate resistance, a breakout above this will confirm the reversal,” the SEBI-registered analyst added.

Highlighting that Sensex will try to make a base at these levels and may go sideways before giving a clear direction, he said, “Hence, traders should wait for breakout or breakdown before taking the trade.”

Sensex Prediction for Monday, Feb 16 by Aakash Shah

Key support and resistance levels

Aakash Shah, Research Analyst, pointed out that the 82,100–82,200 zone is likely to act as a significant accumulation area. “On the technical front, the 82,100–82,200 zone is likely to act as an immediate support and accumulation area, whereas resistance is placed near the 83,000–83,100 zone,” Shah said.

"As long as the Sensex trades below the 83,000–83,100 resistance band, the short-term bias remains cautious with range-bound movement and elevated volatility expected," Shah stated.

He further said, “As long as the Sensex trades below the resistance band, the short-term bias remains cautious with range-bound movement and elevated volatility expected amid global cues and sectoral rotation.”

Sensex top losers and gainers on Friday, Feb 13

Among the Sensex constituents, Hindustan Unilever, Eternal, Titan, Tata Steel, Adani Ports, Tata Consultancy Services, PowerGrid, Reliance Industries, Bharat Electronics Ltd, Asian Paints, Mahindra & Mahindra, HDFC Bank and HCL Technologies were the major laggards.

On the other hand, Bajaj Finance and State Bank of India were the only gainers.

Sectoral performance on Friday, Feb 13

The BSE SmallCap Select Index fell 1.90 per cent, while the MidCap Select Index slipped 1.19 per cent.

Among sectoral indices, Metal declined the most by 3.21 per cent, followed by Realty and Commodities by 2.27 per cent each, Utilities by 2.26 per cent, Energy by 1.94 per cent, Oil & Gas by 1.86 per cent, Power by 1.85 per cent, FMCG by 1.74 per cent, and Services by 1.72 per cent.

(Disclaimer: The above article is meant for informational purposes only, and should not be considered as any investment advice. ET NOW DIGITAL suggests its readers/audience to consult their financial advisors before making any money-related decisions.)