US inflation edges higher as Fed and Trump downplay risks

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Oct 13, 2025, 11:10:29 AM IST

US Inflation on the Rise

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US Inflation on the Rise

US inflation has increased in three of the last four months, slightly higher than a year ago. Despite this, President Trump and some Federal Reserve officials have downplayed its significance, giving the impression that inflation is under control. (Source: AP)

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Trump and Powell Statements

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Trump and Powell Statements

President Trump told the UN that grocery prices and mortgage rates are down, claiming that inflation has been defeated. Around the same time, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said that inflation has come down significantly from its post-pandemic highs and that the upside risks to inflation have diminished.

Agencies

Risks of Underestimating Inflation

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Risks of Underestimating Inflation

Ignoring inflation above the Fed’s 2% target carries risks. Many Americans still feel the burden of rising prices, which could impact the White House politically. For the Federal Reserve, if inflation persists longer than expected, its credibility could suffer, making it harder to keep prices stable in the future.

Agencies

Current Inflation Trends

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Current Inflation Trends

Consumer prices rose 2.9% in August compared to a year earlier, slightly above the Fed’s target. Grocery prices increased 2.7%, marking the largest gain outside the pandemic since 2015. Coffee prices surged nearly 21% due to tariffs on imports from Brazil and climate-related droughts affecting harvests. Long-lasting manufactured goods also rose about 2%, ending decades of mostly falling costs.

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Impact of Tariffs

Tariffs on imports like furniture, appliances, and toys have pushed up costs for many companies. Campbell Soups and the National Tree Company are raising prices to offset these higher costs. Ongoing tariffs could lead to longer-lasting inflation rather than just a temporary increase.

iStock

Federal Reserve’s Dilemma

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Federal Reserve’s Dilemma

The Fed cut key interest rates despite inflation remaining above target, prioritising the risk of worsening unemployment. Officials are aware that losing public confidence in their inflation-fighting ability could make it harder to control prices. However, some trends, such as slower rental cost growth and reduced immigration, may help ease inflation pressures in the coming months.

AP

Outlook & Concerns

Economists warn that inflation may not be temporary. Continued tariffs and price hikes could sustain higher inflation levels. If Americans lose confidence in the Fed’s ability to manage inflation, controlling prices could become much more difficult and costly. (Disclaimer: This slideshow has been sourced from AP)

NYT News Service

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